Iran-Usa: Colloqui confermati in Oman, focus sul nucleare e missili

Why the US‑Iran Talks in Oman Matter More Than Ever

On Thursday, February 5 2026, the United States and Iran confirmed a high‑stakes meeting in Muscat, Oman. After Tehran warned it would pull back if Washington tried to broaden the agenda beyond the nuclear dossier, both sides reached a compromise that keeps the talks on the table. The agenda will focus on Tehran’s nuclear programme, but will also cover ballistic‑missile development and the support Iran gives to regional militant groups.

Key Players on the Ground

Steve Witkoff (U.S. Special Envoy for the Middle East) and Jared Kushner (senior adviser to President Donald Trump) landed in Muscat and will meet Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi tomorrow.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu convened his cabinet security meeting a day before the talks, underscoring Israel’s concern over any shift in Tehran’s posture.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan called for dialogue and warned against a military clash between Washington and Tehran.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said Germany is in “close contact” with the United States on Iran and is ready to increase pressure on Tehran.

What’s at Stake? Nuclear, Missiles and Regional Stability

Iran’s nuclear negotiations have long been the centerpiece of diplomatic engagement, but recent developments suggest the missile issue will also be front‑and‑centre:

The Revolutionary Guard has deployed the medium‑range ballistic missile Khorramshahr‑4 in a newly built underground base – the first such underground deployment (Fars Agency).
Iran announced that the same missile system is now operational with a 2,000 km range and a 1,500 kg warhead (Fars Agency).
Tehran’s parliamentary spokesperson, Ebrahim Rezaei, warned that “no stop enrichment, no negotiations on missiles” will be accepted (Tehran Times).

Regional Flashpoints: Gaza, Lebanon and the Gulf

The broader Middle‑East context adds urgency to the talks:

Gaza’s fragile truce is wavering after 21 deaths in recent Israeli raids; Hamas claims Israel violated cease‑fire agreements (Sky TG24).
Israel has launched more than ten airstrikes in Lebanon, targeting Hezbollah installations in both the south and the north, raising the risk of a wider conflict (Lebanon 24).
The IRGC seized two oil tankers in the Gulf, accusing them of fuel smuggling, a move that reflects Tehran’s willingness to use maritime pressure points (Tasnim News Agency).

U.S. Military Posture: A Show of Strength

While diplomatic channels are active, the United States has bolstered its regional presence:

Satellite imagery verified a new deployment of F‑15 fighters, MQ‑9 Reaper drones and A‑10 attack aircraft at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan (BBC Verify).
Naval assets, including the missile‑launching destroyer USS Delbert D Black, have been seen transiting the Suez Canal toward the Red Sea.

Future Trends to Watch

Based on today’s developments, several trajectories could shape the region in the months ahead:

Negotiated Nuclear Freeze: If the Oman talks succeed, we may see a limited freeze on Iran’s enrichment activities, paired with a phased lifting of sanctions.
Missile Dialogue or Stalemate: Tehran’s firm stance on missile negotiations could either lead to a separate track of talks or a continued deadlock, influencing regional arms‑race dynamics.
Escalation‑Deterrence Balance: The U.S. Military buildup signals a deterrence posture that could either prevent a sudden flare‑up or provoke a reciprocal Iranian response, especially if missile deployments expand.
Diplomatic Ripple Effect: Turkey, Germany, Egypt and the Gulf states are all pushing for de‑escalation. Their coordinated diplomatic pressure could tip the balance toward a broader regional peace framework.
Domestic Pressure on Tehran: The hunger strike of Nobel laureate Narges Mohammadi and ongoing protests suggest internal dissent may influence Iran’s external bargaining position (AFP).

Did you know? Iran’s newest missile, the Khorramshahr‑4, can reach targets across the entire Middle East, potentially covering Israel, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates from its launch sites.

FAQ

What is the main purpose of the US‑Iran talks in Oman?: To negotiate Iran’s nuclear programme while also addressing ballistic‑missile concerns and regional militant support.
Will the talks include discussions on missile development?: Yes. Media reports indicate that missile issues will be part of the agenda (Sky TG24).
How has Israel responded to the upcoming negotiations?: Israel’s prime minister called a security cabinet meeting to assess the potential impact on Israeli security (Times of Israel).
Is China participating in any related nuclear talks?: No. China has announced it will not join the current phase of nuclear‑disarmament discussions (Euronews).
What is the status of the Gaza cease‑fire?: The truce is fragile, with recent Israeli raids killing 21 people and Hamas claiming violations of the agreement (Sky TG24).

What You Can Do Next

Stay informed and join the conversation. Subscribe to our newsletter for real‑time updates on Middle‑East diplomacy and share your thoughts in the comments below—how do you think the Oman talks will reshape the region’s security landscape?