Kansas vs. Texas Tech prediction, odds, time: 2026 college basketball picks from proven model

A highly anticipated matchup in the Big 12 Conference is set to take place on Monday, February 2, 2026, as the No. 14 Kansas Jayhawks face off against the No. 11 Texas Tech Red Raiders. Kansas recently secured a 90-82 victory over BYU on Saturday, while Texas Tech suffered an 88-80 loss to Central Florida on the same day.

Key Matchup Details

Both teams currently hold a 6-2 record in the Big 12, tying them for fourth place in the conference standings. Kansas has a 16-5 overall record and is 3-3 on the road this season. Texas Tech also boasts a 16-5 overall record and maintains an impressive 11-0 record at home in the 2025-26 season.

Did You Know? Kansas leads the all-time series against Texas Tech 42-9.

The game is scheduled to begin at 9 p.m. ET from United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, Texas. Despite Kansas’ historical dominance in the series, Texas Tech has won the last two meetings between the teams.

Betting Odds and Projections

According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Texas Tech is a 4.5-point favourite. The over/under for total points scored is set at 154.5. The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated this game 10,000 times and is leaning towards the Over, predicting a total of 155 points with a 52% probability.

Expert Insight: The SportsLine Projection Model’s strong recent performance – a 10-1 run on over/under picks and a 6-0 roll on side picks – suggests a data-driven approach to analysing this competitive Big 12 matchup.

The model projects four Kansas players to score 13.4 or more points, led by Darryn Peterson with a projected 18.8 points. Similarly, it anticipates four Texas Tech players reaching double figures, with J.T. Toppin expected to lead with 23.9 points.

Viewing Information

Fans can stream the game live on Fubo.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current record of Kansas?

Kansas has an overall record of 16-5 and a 6-2 record in the Big 12 Conference.

What is the home record of Texas Tech this season?

Texas Tech is 11-0 at home during the 2025-26 season.

What is the point spread for the Kansas vs. Texas Tech game?

Texas Tech is a 4.5-point favourite, according to DraftKings Sportsbook.

As the Jayhawks and Red Raiders prepare to clash, will Texas Tech’s home-court advantage and recent head-to-head wins prove decisive, or can Kansas leverage its overall record and historical series lead to secure a victory?