Mortgage Demand Rises as Borrowers Seek Lower Rates & ARM Options
The mortgage landscape is showing a shift in borrower behavior as conventional loan rates hold steady, while demand for alternative loan products rises. Overall mortgage application volume saw a slight increase last week, but the details reveal a more nuanced picture of affordability challenges and evolving strategies among homebuyers.
Demand Shifts Amidst Rate Stability
Total mortgage application volume increased by 0.3% last week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. However, the average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages remained at 6.21% for loan balances of $832,750 or less, with points holding at 0.56. This stability isn’t translating into increased demand for these traditional mortgages.
Refinance Activity Surges
Applications to refinance a home loan rose 1% for the week, significantly outpacing last year’s numbers – up 101% year-over-year. This surge is largely attributed to the fact that mortgage rates were 74 basis points higher a year ago, making a refinance worthwhile for many borrowers if they can save 75 basis points.
Purchase Applications Decline, Alternatives Gain Traction
While refinance activity is up, applications for a mortgage to purchase a home fell 2% for the week, and are only 4% higher than this time last year. This decline coincides with a still-pricey housing market and a recent pause in the growth of housing supply.
Borrowers are increasingly turning to FHA loans, with applications increasing as FHA rates remain 20 basis points lower than conforming 30-year fixed rates. The share of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) is growing, reaching a seven-week high of 8%, as ARM rates are almost a full percentage point lower than fixed rates.
Economic Data Influences Rates
Mortgage rates experienced a slight dip on Tuesday following a weaker-than-expected retail sales report. Market attention is now focused on the upcoming monthly employment report, with analysts suggesting the market may be anticipating a potentially negative report. Matthew Graham, chief operating officer at Mortgage News Daily, noted that a weaker jobs report could lead to further rate declines, while a strong report could cause rates to rebound.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a basis point?
A basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point. So, 74 basis points is equal to 0.74%.
What is an ARM?
An adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) is a mortgage where the interest rate can change periodically, based on an underlying benchmark.
What is a conforming loan balance?
A conforming loan balance is $832,750 or less, as stated in the report.
How might upcoming economic data, particularly the employment report, influence your approach to the housing market?