Price of average UK home passes £300,000 for first time, Halifax says | Housing market
The UK housing market has reached a new milestone, with the average home price exceeding £300,000 for the first time in January. This increase marks the fastest rate of growth since November 2024, signaling a potential shift in the market’s trajectory after a period of slower activity.
Price Surge and Regional Variations
Data from Halifax, part of Lloyds – Britain’s biggest mortgage lender – indicates a 0.7% month-on-month increase in house prices last month. This follows a 1% annual growth rate, bringing the average UK home price to £300,077. However, Nationwide offers a different valuation, estimating the average cost at £270,873.
Regional performance varies significantly. Northern Ireland currently exhibits the strongest growth, with average prices rising 5.9% annually to £217,206. Scotland follows with a 5.4% growth rate, averaging £221,711. Wales has seen more modest growth at 0.5%, with an average home costing £228,415. Within England, the north-west leads with a 2.1% increase, bringing the average price to £244,329.
Recent Market Fluctuations
This recent growth represents a rebound from a slowdown experienced in the run-up to Christmas, when average prices fell by 0.5% month-on-month – a figure Halifax has since revised down from 0.2%. The current market activity is described as “resilient” by Amanda Bryden, head of mortgages at Halifax, though she acknowledges affordability remains a key challenge for prospective buyers.
Both Halifax and Nationwide predict further price increases throughout 2026, with estimates ranging from 1% to 4%. This outlook is influenced by recent cuts to the base rate by the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee, with the most recent cut occurring in December.
Interest Rate Impact and Future Outlook
Despite the cuts, the Bank of England maintained the rate at 3.75% on Thursday, citing concerns about persistent inflation, which rose to 3.4% in December. However, a narrow 5-4 vote split within the committee suggests further cuts may be considered in the coming months, as six cuts have already been implemented since mid-2024.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the average UK house price in January?
Halifax estimates the average UK house price at £300,077 in January, while Nationwide estimates it at £270,873.
How does regional performance vary?
Northern Ireland shows the strongest growth at 5.9% annually, followed by Scotland at 5.4%. Wales has the lowest growth at 0.5%, and the north-west of England leads growth within England at 2.1%.
What is the predicted house price growth for 2026?
Halifax predicts house prices will edge up between 1% and 3% this year, while Nationwide forecasts a rise of between 2% and 4%.
As the market navigates these factors, will further cuts to the base rate be enough to sustain the current momentum in house prices, or will affordability concerns ultimately limit growth?