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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett – How to Watch & Expert Picks

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett – How to Watch & Expert Picks

January 22, 2026 discoverhiddenusacom Health

Las Vegas will host a highly anticipated UFC event this Saturday night at T-Mobile Arena, marking the promotion’s first fight card since December 13th. The main event will feature a lightweight clash between fan favorites Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett, with the interim lightweight championship on the line.

A Championship on the Line

Justin Gaethje, a former title challenger, has secured victories in three of his last four fights, most recently defeating Rafael Fiziev by unanimous decision in October. He currently holds the No. 5 ranking in ESPN’s lightweight division. Pimblett, ranked No. 7 by ESPN, remains undefeated in his UFC career, having last won by third-round knockout against Michael Chandler.

Did You Know? Khabib Nurmagomedov is the only fighter to have taken Justin Gaethje down and submitted him.

Expert Predictions Favor Gaethje

A panel of four MMA analysts and coaches – Dustin Poirier, Din Thomas, Anthony Smith, and Michael Chiesa – have all predicted a victory for Justin Gaethje. All four experts believe Gaethje will win by technical knockout (TKO).

Dustin Poirier noted that Pimblett’s tendency to keep his chin up and lack of discipline could be exploited by Gaethje’s technical striking. Anthony Smith believes Gaethje will be too difficult for Pimblett to take down, a key component of Pimblett’s winning strategy. Din Thomas emphasized Gaethje’s stylistic advantage, stating Justin’s style is a “bad matchup” for Pimblett.

Expert Insight: The consensus among analysts suggests that Gaethje’s wrestling defense and powerful striking present significant challenges for Pimblett, who relies on grappling and maintaining distance.

Michael Chiesa highlighted the strategic choices facing Pimblett, suggesting that attempting to grapple with Gaethje could play to the former’s strengths, while a striking battle could offer a path to victory, but requires precise execution.

Looking Ahead

Should Gaethje win, he could potentially face the current lightweight champion in a unification bout. If Pimblett were to secure an upset victory, he would become the interim lightweight champion and position himself for a title fight. The outcome of this fight could significantly shift the landscape of the lightweight division.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is at stake in this fight?

The interim lightweight championship is at stake, and the winner will likely face the current lightweight champion in a future title unification bout.

What is Justin Gaethje’s recent record?

Justin Gaethje has won three of his past four contests, including a unanimous decision victory over Rafael Fiziev in his last fight.

What is Paddy Pimblett’s record in the UFC?

Paddy Pimblett is undefeated in the UFC, with his last win coming by third-round knockout against Michael Chandler.

How will each fighter’s strategy impact the outcome of this highly anticipated matchup?

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