2026 FIFA World Cup Final Odds: Who Will Reach the Title Game?

France and Spain are the current favorites to reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final on July 19 at New York New Jersey Stadium, according to FanDuel Sportsbook odds as of June 22. France leads the market at +210, while Spain follows at +260. These two nations are viewed by oddsmakers as the most likely finalists in a tournament featuring 103 total matches.

Which teams are favorites to reach the 2026 World Cup final?

France (+210) and Spain (+260) hold the top positions on the oddsboard. Argentina follows closely at +280, while England is listed at +300. Portugal (+500), Brazil (+600), and Germany (+600) round out the top seven contenders.

Other notable odds include the Netherlands at +800 and Norway at +1200. The United States is currently +1400 to reach the final, while Mexico sits at +2000.

Did You Know? Croatia entered the 2018 tournament at 30-1 odds and became one of the biggest long shots ever to reach a World Cup final.

How have the odds shifted for Argentina and Morocco?

Argentina’s odds moved from +370 to +280 after the team won its first two group stage matches. Those victories against Algeria and Austria resulted in a combined score of 5-0, according to the sportsbook data.

Morocco has seen the most significant rise on the board, climbing from +2700 to +1600. This shift follows a win over Scotland and a competitive draw against Brazil.

Expert Insight: Samantha Carter notes that while European powers like France and Spain remain the mathematical favorites, the rapid movement of teams like Morocco and Argentina demonstrates how early group stage performance can quickly shift market confidence.

Can a long shot reach the championship game?

Historical data shows that long shots can reach the final, though none have won the tournament. Croatia’s 2018 run is cited as a primary example of a high-odds team reaching the championship, where they eventually fell to France.

How to Bet on the FIFA World Cup Using FanDuel Sportsbook (Full Guide)

Currently, Croatia is +3300 to reach the final. Other long shots include Switzerland at +2700, Japan and Belgium at +1900, and Colombia at +1700.

The U.S. and Mexico also improved their positions on the oddsboard after both nations won their respective groups. Future shifts in the odds may occur as the remaining matches are played leading up to the July 19 final.

Frequently Asked Questions

Where will the 2026 FIFA World Cup final be held?
The final will take place at New York New Jersey Stadium.

Which team has the best odds to reach the final?
France is the favorite with odds of +210, according to FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 22.

Why did Morocco’s odds improve so significantly?
Morocco climbed from +2700 to +1600 following a win over Scotland and a competitive draw against Brazil.

Which nation do you think has the best chance of defying the odds to reach the final?