2026 FIFA World Cup picks, odds: Soccer expert reveals futures predictions, best bets
The 2026 FIFA World Cup will feature 48 teams, the largest field in the tournament’s history, with the United States, Canada, and Mexico co-hosting. European nations dominate the odds to win, led by France at +470, followed by Spain (+480) and England (+650). Brazil, the only non-European top favorite, is priced at +800. Reigning champion Argentina, led by Lionel Messi, is +950, while the U.S. men’s national team (USMNT) enters as a +5500 longshot. Mexico, the Group A favorite, is backed by SportsLine’s Martin Green to reach the Round of 16 at +125, citing its strong historical record and home advantage.
The expansion to 48 teams increases the number of participating nations, creating more opportunities for underdogs but also intensifying competition. European powerhouses like France and Spain hold the highest odds, reflecting their recent dominance in global soccer. The U.S., despite being a co-host, faces long odds, with Mexico and Canada also ranked far behind the European front-runners. Green’s analysis highlights Mexico’s favorable group stage matchups and potential path to the Round of 16, though the tournament’s expanded format introduces new variables for all teams.
What Happens Next?
The 2026 World Cup’s expanded format could create unexpected upsets, but European teams remain the most likely contenders. Mexico’s path to the Round of 16 appears viable, but deeper success would depend on performance against stronger opponents. The U.S. and Canada, as co-hosts, may benefit from home support, though their odds suggest they are not top-tier favorites. Analysts will closely monitor team preparations and potential shifts in the odds as the tournament approaches.
Why It Matters
The 2026 World Cup’s scale and format represent a significant shift in global soccer, with more nations competing but also facing heightened challenges. The dominance of European teams in the odds underscores their current strength, while the U.S. and Mexico’s co-host status could influence fan engagement and media coverage. For underdogs like Algeria (+25,000) or South Africa (+25,000), the tournament offers a rare platform to challenge established powers, though the odds remain heavily stacked against them.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the format of the 2026 World Cup? The tournament will expand to 48 teams, with a new Round of 32 stage before the traditional Round of 16.
Which teams are the favorites to win? France, Spain, and England are the top favorites, with France at +470 and Spain at +480, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.
What are the U.S. team’s chances? The U.S. men’s national team is a +5500 longshot to win, with co-host Mexico at +6000 and Canada at +15,000.
Which team do you think could stage a major upset in the 2026 World Cup?