2026 WM Phoenix Open: Scheffler Favorite, Expert Picks & Predictions

The 2026 WM Phoenix Open, a prominent event on the PGA Tour, is set to begin this Thursday at TPC Scottsdale’s Stadium Course. The tournament is known for attracting large and enthusiastic crowds, and this year’s field promises to be highly competitive, featuring top golfers like Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, and Hideki Matsuyama.

A Highly Anticipated Tournament

Brooks Koepka will also be competing, marking his second tournament appearance since returning to the PGA Tour last week at the Farmers Insurance Open. Current odds favour Scottie Scheffler, listed at +230, meaning a $100 wager could yield a $230 profit. Xander Schauffele follows at +1700, with Si Woo Kim and Cameron Young both at +2500. Koepka, who finished tied for 56th last week, has odds of +4500 this week.

Did You Know? The WM Phoenix Open is consistently known for its exceptionally large and boisterous crowds, creating a unique atmosphere for players.

Predictions and Potential Upsets

A computer model, developed by DFS pro Mike McClure, has simulated the tournament 10,000 times to generate predictions and a projected leaderboard. This model has a strong track record, having correctly predicted the winners of 16 major championships entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters, the PGA Championship, and the Open Championship.

Interestingly, the model suggests that Si Woo Kim, currently a favourite, may struggle and barely make the top 10. Despite a strong start to the season with finishes of T11, T6, and T2, Kim has historically faced challenges at the WM Phoenix Open, missing three of the last five cuts and not finishing better than 50th since 2022.

Expert Insight: The model’s prediction regarding Si Woo Kim highlights the importance of course history and how past performance can significantly influence a golfer’s chances, even with recent success elsewhere.

Potential Dark Horses

Conversely, the model is optimistic about Ben Griffin’s performance. He has made the cut in both of his previous appearances at the event, finishing 36th last year and 28th in 2024. Griffin has shown a tendency to rally during the weekend at TPC Scottsdale, suggesting a potential for a strong showing if he can get off to a good start.

The model also identifies three other longshots with odds of +3000 or higher as potential top-10 contenders.

Looking Ahead

The outcome of the 2026 WM Phoenix Open remains uncertain, but the model’s projections offer a data-driven perspective on the potential contenders and surprises that may unfold. Bettors can also take advantage of promotional offers, such as a $300 bonus from DraftKings or a $200 bonus from FanDuel, if their bets win.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who are the favourites to win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?

Scottie Scheffler is the favourite with odds of +230, followed by Xander Schauffele at +1700.

What is the model predicting about Si Woo Kim?

The model predicts that Si Woo Kim will struggle and barely crack the top 10, despite his recent good form.

Who is the model high on this week?

The model is extremely high on Ben Griffin, believing he has a good chance to be in the mix on Sunday.

Given the unpredictable nature of professional golf, what factors beyond statistics and course history do you think could influence the outcome of the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?