Elon Musk Says SpaceX Could Put One Million Tons Of Payload In Orbit Within The Next Five Years

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk predicts the company could transport one million tons of payload into orbit within roughly five years. This projection follows a Mach33 valuation model estimating 40,000 tons of Starlink payload could be launched in two years, while Goldman Sachs projects company revenue could hit $474 billion by 2030.

How much payload can SpaceX launch?

Elon Musk stated on June 10, 2026, that putting one million tons into orbit “should be possible in roughy 5 years.” This follows a report shared by influencer Sawyer Merritt on X regarding a new valuation model from research firm Mach33.

Mach33’s model suggests SpaceX could put over 40,000 tons of Starlink payload into orbit within the next two years. This timeline coincides with the launch of the first datacenter satellites.

What are the financial projections for the SpaceX IPO?

Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the lead underwriter for the upcoming SpaceX IPO, reportedly told prospective investors that total revenue could exceed $474 billion by 2030. Mach33 believes the current equity valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion does not fully account for future growth from Starship and orbital compute infrastructure.

Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management compared SpaceX to Alphabet Inc. Munster noted that SpaceX holds a specific advantage over Google because Google does not manufacture rockets.

Why is SpaceX facing a lawsuit in Mississippi?

Residents of Mississippi have filed a proposed class-action lawsuit in federal court against SpaceX and xAI. The suit, which includes an estimated 10,000 residents, alleges that AI datacenters are creating “perpetual and inescapable noise.”

Court documents indicate that Elon Musk is not personally named as a defendant in the litigation.

What may happen next for the company?

The company may see a significant shift in valuation as it moves toward an IPO. If the projections from Goldman Sachs and Mach33 hold, the company’s revenue and orbital capacity could scale rapidly through 2030.

Future growth is likely to depend on the successful deployment of orbital compute infrastructure and the continued scaling of Starship. The outcome of the Mississippi class-action suit could also influence how the company develops ground-based AI datacenter sites.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the projected revenue for SpaceX by 2030?
According to reports from Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the company’s total revenue could reach over $474 billion by 2030.

How much payload does Mach33 expect SpaceX to launch in two years?
Mach33’s valuation model suggests SpaceX could put over 40,000 tons of Starlink payload into orbit in the next two years.

Who is involved in the Mississippi lawsuit against SpaceX?
An estimated 10,000 residents of Mississippi filed the proposed class-action lawsuit against SpaceX and xAI regarding noise from AI datacenters.

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