Knicks vs. Spurs prediction, odds, spread, line, start time: 2026 NBA Finals picks for Game 5

The New York Knicks lead the NBA Finals 3-1 after a 107-106 Game 4 victory over the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday. Jalen Brunson scored 36 points to put New York one win away from their first championship since 1973, according to game reports from Madison Square Garden.

Brunson added seven assists to his 36-point performance to secure the one-point win. The victory gives the Knicks a commanding lead as the series shifts back to San Antonio for a potential clincher on Saturday.

Why the Game 5 matchup is significant

A victory on Saturday would end a championship drought for the Knicks dating back to 1973. The outcome depends on whether San Antonio can defend its home court at the Frost Bank Center.

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The Spurs finished the regular season with a 32-8 record at home, though they dropped both Games 1 and 2 in San Antonio during this series. According to team data, the Spurs have not lost three straight home games all season.

Conversely, the Knicks enter the game having covered eight consecutive road games, according to betting data.

Did You Know? The New York Knicks are attempting to win their first NBA championship since 1973.

What are the predictions for Knicks vs. Spurs?

Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET at the Frost Bank Center. FanDuel Sportsbook lists the Spurs as a 5.5-point favorite, with a money line of -196 for San Antonio and +163 for New York.

NBA Picks – Knicks vs Spurs Prediction, 6/3/2026 Best Bets, Odds & Betting Tips | Tony George

The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulated the game 10,000 times, predicts the total score will go “Under” the 216.5 point line. The model projects a combined total of 213 points.

According to SportsLine, the “Under” has hit in three of the four games in this series, including both contests played in San Antonio.

Expert Insight: Samantha Carter notes that the series now hinges on a clash of momentum. While the Knicks possess a strong road betting streak, the Spurs’ historical home dominance this season suggests a difficult environment for New York to close out the series.

How could the scoring break down on Saturday?

The SportsLine model projects Victor Wembanyama to lead the Spurs with 29 points. Five Spurs players are expected to score in double figures.

For the Knicks, the model projects five players to reach double figures, led by Jalen Brunson with 24 points. These projections suggest a closely contested game where the total score may remain below the 216.5 FanDuel over/under.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is Game 5 of the NBA Finals?
The game is set for Saturday at 8:30 p.m. ET at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio.

What are the current betting odds for the game?
According to FanDuel Sportsbook, the Spurs are 5.5-point favorites, with an over/under of 216.5 points.

Who is projected to be the top scorer for the Spurs?
The SportsLine Projection Model projects Victor Wembanyama to lead San Antonio with 29 points.

Will the Spurs’ home-court record be enough to prevent the Knicks from winning their first title since 1973?