NFL QB Carousel: 2024 Predictions & News

The annual flurry of activity surrounding NFL coaching changes is typically the first domino to fall, quickly followed by a period of intense quarterback evaluation and movement. This year is shaping up to be no different, with teams poised to reshape their most critical position through trades, signings and difficult roster decisions.

A Shifting Landscape at Quarterback

Several teams are facing pivotal choices regarding their current quarterbacks. The Miami Dolphins, for example, have a significant decision to make concerning Tua Tagovailoa. Maintaining him through 2026 will cost the team $54 million, while cutting him would incur a substantial $99.2 million dead-cap charge over one or two years. A trade is also a possibility, though potentially requiring the Dolphins to absorb some of the financial burden by including a draft pick.

Did You Know? The Miami Dolphins face a potential dead-cap charge of $99.2 million if they cut Tua Tagovailoa.

The New York Jets are likely to part ways with Justin Fields, despite a $20 million salary for 2026, half of which is guaranteed. They are expected to seek a veteran quarterback to lead new coordinator Frank Reich’s offense. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers are currently focused on Aaron Rodgers’ potential return, which would delay any immediate pursuit of a veteran replacement. However, Malik Willis or Cousins could become options if Rodgers’ status is clarified before March 11.

Uncertain Futures and Potential Replacements

Other teams are navigating equally complex situations. The Cleveland Browns, with Deshaun Watson under contract for another year at $46 million, also have Shedeur Sanders and Dillon Gabriel on the roster, leaving the quarterback strategy uncertain under the new leadership of coach Todd Monken. The Baltimore Ravens, in the unlikely event they trade Lamar Jackson, would need to find an experienced quarterback to fill the void.

The Indianapolis Colts are anticipating the return of Daniel Jones, recovering from an Achilles injury, while Anthony Richardson remains under contract for 2026. If Jones departs, the Colts may need to explore veteran options. The Las Vegas Raiders are considering the future of Geno Smith, who is owed $18.5 million for 2026, with another $8 million becoming fully guaranteed on March 13. A trade or release are both possibilities, potentially paving the way for Fernando Mendoza.

Expert Insight: The financial implications of quarterback contracts are driving significant strategic decisions across the league, forcing teams to weigh the cost of retaining veterans against the potential of developing younger players.

The Minnesota Vikings are seeking a veteran to compete with J.J. McCarthy, though attracting a player willing to contend for the starting role may prove challenging. The Atlanta Falcons haven’t committed to Michael Penix Jr. As their Week 1 starter, and a veteran quarterback, potentially Cousins, could be considered under the new leadership team of Matt Ryan, Ian Cunningham, and Kevin Stefanski. Finally, the Arizona Cardinals appear ready to move on from Kyler Murray, who is owed $36.8 million for 2026, and could explore options like Malik Willis or Aaron Rodgers.

What’s Next?

As the Scouting Combine approaches, these discussions are expected to intensify. Coaches and General Managers will face pointed questions, and agents will be actively engaging with teams to explore potential opportunities. Several scenarios could unfold, depending on team needs and the availability of key players. Teams may prioritize finding short-term solutions, while others may focus on long-term development.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is driving the quarterback carousel?

Teams are reshuffling their depth charts with changes at the most important position on the team, driven by factors like contract obligations, player performance, and coaching changes.

Which teams are most likely to be in the market for a veteran quarterback?

The Jets, Steelers (contingent on Aaron Rodgers’ status), Colts, Raiders, Vikings, and Falcons are all potential contenders for a veteran quarterback.

What are the financial implications of these quarterback decisions?

Teams face significant financial considerations, including dead-cap charges, guaranteed salaries, and the potential need to absorb costs in trades.

How will the decisions made during the Scouting Combine impact the quarterback landscape?