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Sabalenka vs Rybakina: Mentality & Match Preview

Sabalenka vs Rybakina: Mentality & Match Preview

January 31, 2026 discoverhiddenusacom Sports

The stage is set for a compelling final at the Australian Open as Aryna Sabalenka prepares to face Elena Rybakina once more. However, for the world’s top-ranked player, Sabalenka, preparation for this match isn’t focused on past victories, but rather on learning from previous defeats.

A Shift in Focus

Sabalenka revealed she’s drawing motivation not from her Grand Slam successes – including a breakthrough win at the 2023 Australian Open and a recent US Open title – but from the five finals she lost in 2023. She believes understanding those losses is key to avoiding a repeat performance this season. “I actually know what was wrong in all of those finals that I played and I lost,” Sabalenka stated.

Past Setbacks Fuel Present Drive

Those losses included a defeat to Madison Keys at the 2023 Australian Open, ending a 20-match winning streak. She also fell to Coco Gauff at the French Open, after a semi-final win over Iga Swiatek, and to Amanda Anisimova at Wimbledon. Further setbacks came in finals at Stuttgart and Indian Wells, despite winning four titles overall in 2023. The most recent loss came at the WTA Finals in November, a three-set match against Rybakina, who earned $5.2 million in prize money.

Did You Know? The same two players appearing in the season-ending championship final one year and the final of the season-opening major the next hasn’t happened since 1999-2000, when Martina Hingis and Lindsay Davenport faced off.

A New Mental Approach

Sabalenka is prioritizing a change in mentality. She aims to move past frustration and focus solely on winning each point. This approach was evident in her semi-final win against Elina Svitolina, where she overcame a disputed call from the chair umpire and dominated the remainder of the match. “Right now my mentality is like I’m ready to do whatever, whatever is going to be in that finals, I’m ready to go out there and fight with what I have,” she said.

Undefeated Streak and Historical Context

Sabalenka enters the final on an 11-match winning streak, having won the Brisbane International to start the season. Remarkably, neither Sabalenka nor Rybakina have dropped a set en route to the final, a feat not seen at a Grand Slam since 2008. Sabalenka is also aiming to reach a milestone achieved by only two players in the Open era: Martina Hingis and Evonne Goolagong Cawley, who both reached four or more consecutive finals in Australia.

Expert Insight: Sabalenka’s conscious effort to reframe her mindset, focusing on resilience and point-by-point execution, suggests a maturation in her game. This shift could prove crucial in high-pressure situations, allowing her to overcome past vulnerabilities and capitalize on opportunities.

Rybakina’s Perspective

Rybakina, representing Kazakhstan despite being born in Moscow, shares a similar outlook, intending to approach the match as a fresh contest. She acknowledged a close match in their 2023 Australian Open final, where Sabalenka ultimately prevailed. Rybakina conceded Sabalenka’s improved serving was a deciding factor in that match. She is seeking her first major final since winning Wimbledon in 2022.

Looking Ahead

Rybakina admitted to feeling tight towards the end of her semi-final win over Jessica Pegula, taking almost half an hour to secure victory. She hopes to leverage the experience gained from their previous encounter. “Hopefully with all the experience which I got from this last match, last time final I played here, I can bring it to Saturday’s match,” Rybakina said.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Sabalenka’s primary focus heading into the final?

Sabalenka is focusing on learning from her past losses in finals, rather than dwelling on her previous successes.

What is notable about the winning streak of both Sabalenka and Rybakina?

Both players have reached the final without dropping a set, a feat not accomplished at a Grand Slam since 2008.

What did Rybakina identify as a key factor in Sabalenka’s win in the 2023 Australian Open final?

Rybakina stated that Sabalenka served much better in the third set of their 2023 final.

Will Sabalenka’s revised mental approach be enough to overcome Rybakina and secure another Australian Open title?

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