Top Picks from the CBB Betting Splits for Sunday February 15th
A busy Sunday in college basketball features 32 games, and analysis of betting patterns reveals where experienced bettors – often called “sharps” – are placing their money. Data from DraftKings and Circa Sports, updated every five minutes, indicates significant action on three specific matchups, potentially signaling where value lies for informed wagers.
Manhattan vs. Canisius: A Jasper’s Opportunity?
Manhattan (11-16) is riding a two-game winning streak, recently defeating Niagara 76-69 while covering a 2.5-point spread. Canisius (8-18), conversely, has lost ten consecutive games, most recently falling to Iona 69-63 and failing to cover a 4.5-point spread.
The betting line initially favored Manhattan by 1.5 points. However, “sharps” have demonstrably favored Manhattan, driving the line up to -2 at some books. At DraftKings, 70% of spread bets and 83% of the money wagered is on Manhattan. Circa Sports shows 50% of bets, but a substantial 91% of the money backing the Jaspers. This “low bets, higher dollars” discrepancy suggests significant action from informed bettors.
Ken Pom ratings project Manhattan to win by a single point (72-71). Many professional bettors are opting for a moneyline bet on Manhattan (-125) rather than laying the points. DraftKings data shows 69% of moneyline bets and 83% of moneyline dollars are on Manhattan to win outright.
Temple vs. North Texas: Owls Soaring in the Market
North Texas (14-11) has won two straight, including a 76-69 victory over Memphis as 1.5-point underdogs. Temple (15-9) saw its two-game winning streak end with a 77-66 loss to Tulane, failing to cover a 1.5-point spread.
Expert Insight:
The line opened with Temple as a 1.5-point home favorite, but “sharps” quickly drove it up to -2.5. At DraftKings, Temple is attracting 64% of spread bets and 75% of the money. The moneyline also shows strong support for Temple, with 79% of bets and 86% of money backing the Owls at -140.
Temple boasts superior offensive efficiency (116th vs 285th), effective field goal percentage (236th vs 342nd), and turnover rate (14th vs 273rd). Temple benefits from a one-day rest advantage and a strong home record of 9-3, while North Texas is 3-6 on the road.
Towson vs. Monmouth: Hawks Gaining Traction
Towson (14-12) has won two of its last three games, recently defeating Stony Brook 69-57 and covering a 7.5-point spread. Monmouth (13-12) is on a hot streak, winning four of its last five, including a dominant 93-73 victory over Drexel as 1.5-point road underdogs.
The line opened with Monmouth as a 1.5-point home favorite, and “sharps” have pushed it to -2.5. DraftKings data shows 68% of spread bets and 70% of the money on Monmouth. Similar trends are seen on the moneyline, with 72% of bets and 74% of money backing Monmouth to win outright at -145.
Monmouth has the edge in effective field goal percentage (282nd vs 349th), three-point shooting (146th vs 363rd), and free-throw shooting (125th vs 317th). They also force more turnovers on defense (26th vs 246th). Monmouth holds a 7-4 home record, while Towson struggles on the road at 2-8.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a “sharp” bettor?
The data indicates “sharps” are experienced bettors who often influence line movements due to the size and accuracy of their wagers.
What does a “low bets, higher dollars” discrepancy mean?
This means fewer individual bets are being placed, but a larger total amount of money is being wagered on one side, suggesting confidence from informed bettors.
What is Ken Pom?
Ken Pom ratings are a predictive system for college basketball teams, used to estimate game outcomes.
As these games approach tip-off, will the betting trends continue, or will public sentiment shift the lines?