Ukraine War: Russia's Disinformation, Drone Attacks & Assassination Plots

The Kremlin is continuing its campaign of cognitive warfare, attempting to dissuade Western support for Ukraine. This effort centers on disseminating a narrative that a Russian victory on the battlefield is inevitable and that Russian forces are achieving significant gains, according to analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

Russian Claims of Territorial Gains

On February 20th, General of the Army Sergei Rudskoi, head of the Operations Department of the Russian General Staff, stated that Russian forces had captured approximately 900 square kilometers and 42 settlements since the beginning of 2026.

Cyber Evidence of Belarus’s Role

Ukrainian programmers from the analytical cyber centre “Fenix” have reportedly gathered evidence over six months indicating that Belarusian territory is being used to launch attacks against Ukraine. Analysis of data intercepted from Russian drone operators’ communications in September 2025 revealed Russia’s active use of civil infrastructure within Belarus to establish drone flight paths.

NATO Territory and Drone Activity

This use of Belarusian infrastructure ensured a stable signal for targeting locations along Ukraine’s northern and western borders. Some drones reportedly flew into the territory of certain NATO countries.

Did You Know? Russia claims to have captured approximately 900 square kilometers of territory and 42 settlements since the start of 2026.

Alleged Assassination Plots

Kyiv reported on Friday the arrest of 10 individuals in Ukraine and Moldova suspected of planning the assassination of high-ranking Ukrainian political figures, allegedly at the direction of Moscow. Rewards of up to $100,000 (85,000 euros) were reportedly offered for these actions.

Previous Accusations

Kyiv has previously accused Russia, which initiated a full-scale invasion of Ukraine four years ago, of plotting to assassinate several high-ranking officials, including President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the head of the Ukrainian intelligence services.

Expert Insight: The alleged assassination plots and disinformation campaigns represent a continuation of Russia’s multifaceted approach to the conflict, extending beyond conventional military operations to include destabilizing political actions and attempts to undermine Ukrainian leadership.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kremlin attempting to achieve with its cognitive warfare?

The Kremlin is attempting to convince Western nations to withdraw support for Ukraine by promoting the idea that a Russian victory is unavoidable.

What evidence suggests Belarus is involved in the conflict?

Ukrainian programmers have gathered evidence indicating Russia is using Belarusian civil infrastructure to support drone operations targeting Ukraine.

What accusations has Kyiv made against Russia regarding assassination attempts?

Kyiv has accused Russia of plotting to assassinate several high-ranking Ukrainian officials, including President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

As Russia continues its military operations and alleged disinformation campaigns, what impact might these actions have on the long-term stability of the region?

Ukraine War: Russia’s Disinformation, Drone Attacks & Assassination Plots